Evan Rodrigues vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 60.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 74.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
45.4% (527)
+9.0%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
41.2% (17)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
44.9% (138)
-8.8%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.9% (119)
46.1% (336)
Away
50.8% (122)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.8%
49.1%
P2
51.9%
45.3%
P3
43.2%
42.0%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |