Who wins more faceoffs, Evan Rodrigues or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Evan Rodrigues's faceoff record against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Evan Rodrigues is 2-6 against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-1, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 1-4.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Evan Rodrigues or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is the predicted winner with a 58.5% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Evan Rodrigues vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Evan RodriguesR vs Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 44.7%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Rodrigues 45.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+0.9%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 57.9%

Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 55.4%

Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 59.9%

Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.5%

41.5%

58.5%

Rodrigues Nugent-Hopkins

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 6 (8 meetings)

Rodrigues Nugent-Hopkins

Last 8: Rodrigues 2-6 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Rodrigues Nugent-Hopkins

1 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Rodrigues Nugent-Hopkins

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Rodrigues Nugent-Hopkins

5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Rodrigues

Nugent-Hopkins

Edge

Even Strength

45.9% (2,771)

44.9% (8,714)

+1.0%

Power Play

44.8% (281)

50.3% (829)

-5.5%

Penalty Kill

42.1% (209)

37.8% (875)

+4.3%

On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +5.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,312).

Rodrigues shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,625).

Home / Away

Rodrigues

Nugent-Hopkins

Home

46.7% (1,745)

46.4% (5,318)

Away

44.3% (1,516)

42.9% (5,112)

By Period

Rodrigues

Nugent-Hopkins

46.7%

45.1%

45.9%

43.8%

44.0%

45.2%

50.0%

43.5%

Final 5 min

48.1%

43.7%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Rodrigues

44.0%▬

44.0%

45.6%

Nugent-Hopkins

48.0%▲

46.5%

44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Feb 27, 2025	3	15:09	Defensive	Evan Rodrigues
Feb 27, 2025	2	12:18	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 7, 2023	1	10:17	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 8, 2019	3	12:10	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 4, 2019	1	00:00	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 14, 2019	2	19:25	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 14, 2019	2	00:24	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 14, 2019	1	01:00	Neutral	Evan Rodrigues

Rodrigues's Profile | Nugent-Hopkins's Profile