Evan Rodrigues vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 55.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 50.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
50.3% (479)
-4.7%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
50.0% (28)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
30.0% (50)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.5% (142)
48.9% (270)
Away
43.6% (140)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
42.9%
48.7%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
42.4%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |