Evan Rodrigues vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 75.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 80.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 77.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
Last 10: Rodrigues 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
7
5
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
8
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
56.2% (15,290)
-10.0%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
58.7% (3,457)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
51.4% (2,826)
-8.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,705).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
Home
47.1% (1,836)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Rodrigues
O'Reilly
P1
46.9%
55.6%
P2
46.1%
57.0%
P3
44.4%
55.0%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |