Evgeni Malkin vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Pageau 58.7% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 89.4%
Defensive zone
Malkin 80.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 88.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Malkin
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Malkin
Pageau
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Malkin
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
5
Malkin
Pageau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Malkin
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
59.6% (711)
-14.1%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
64.0% (114)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.4% (163)
+43.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Malkin
Pageau
Home
47.5% (326)
59.3% (506)
Away
44.0% (307)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Malkin
Pageau
P1
49.3%
56.8%
P2
44.7%
64.4%
P3
42.3%
56.9%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |