Evgeni Malkin vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Malkin 46.4% vs Pageau 58.7% (-13.8%)
H2H factor Pageau leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Malkin 89.4%
Defensive zone Malkin 80.3%
Neutral zone Malkin 88.8%
Result Evgeni Malkin favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Malkin Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 9 (11 meetings)
2
9
Malkin Pageau
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Pageau

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Malkin Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
5
Malkin Pageau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Malkin Pageau
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Malkin
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
59.6% (711)
-14.1%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
64.0% (114)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.4% (163)
+43.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +43.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Malkin
Pageau
Home
47.5% (326)
59.3% (506)
Away
44.0% (307)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Malkin
Pageau
P1
49.3%
56.8%
P2
44.7%
64.4%
P3
42.3%
56.9%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
61.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%
47.0%
45.8%
Pageau
72.0%
62.5%
59.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 18, 2025 3 03:24 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 18, 2025 3 00:17 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 18, 2025 2 11:29 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 18, 2025 2 04:48 Offensive Evgeni Malkin
Mar 18, 2025 1 03:21 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 29, 2024 3 03:12 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 28, 2024 3 15:02 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 28, 2024 3 14:53 Defensive Evgeni Malkin
Dec 28, 2024 2 08:03 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 28, 2024 1 09:06 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 28, 2024 1 02:07 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau