Evgeni Malkin vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 34 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Pageau 54.8% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 61-28 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 97.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 94.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 97.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 96.2%
96.2%
3.8%
Malkin
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
61
(89 meetings)
28
61
Malkin
Pageau
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
15
7
Malkin
Pageau
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
30
Malkin
Pageau
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
9
24
Malkin
Pageau
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
55.8% (9,525)
-10.2%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
57.0% (1,008)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
49.6% (2,077)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Malkin
Pageau
Home
47.6% (5,395)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Malkin
Pageau
P1
45.9%
54.7%
P2
46.2%
56.3%
P3
45.2%
53.5%
OT
49.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |