Evgeni Malkin vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Pageau 59.0% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Malkin
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Malkin
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Malkin
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
59.4% (726)
-13.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
69.0% (42)
-34.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Malkin
Pageau
Home
50.4% (113)
58.4% (430)
Away
39.4% (132)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Malkin
Pageau
P1
47.7%
55.4%
P2
44.9%
61.8%
P3
40.0%
61.5%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |