Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.8% vs Barzal 41.4% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Malkin
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (211)
40.4% (456)
+4.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
34.2% (38)
+65.8%
On power play, Malkin has a +65.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Malkin is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Malkin shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Malkin
Barzal
Home
51.5% (103)
38.0% (242)
Away
39.4% (109)
41.3% (259)
By Period
Malkin
Barzal
P1
47.9%
46.6%
P2
47.7%
35.4%
P3
40.0%
38.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |