Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Paul 50.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 70.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Malkin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Malkin
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Malkin
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
53.0% (644)
-9.0%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
37.5% (24)
-7.5%
On even strength, Paul has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Malkin
Paul
Home
45.5% (202)
52.5% (516)
Away
41.4% (174)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Malkin
Paul
P1
48.4%
47.6%
P2
41.7%
48.4%
P3
40.4%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |