Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Paul 53.6% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 56.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 87.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 67.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Malkin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
53.7% (354)
-8.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
59.0% (61)
-24.4%
On power play, Paul has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Malkin
Paul
Home
50.4% (113)
55.1% (216)
Away
39.4% (132)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Malkin
Paul
P1
47.7%
54.9%
P2
44.9%
54.5%
P3
40.0%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
35.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |