Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Paul 53.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 59.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 60.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Malkin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malkin
Paul
Last 6: Malkin 2-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Malkin
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Malkin
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
53.8% (753)
-4.8%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
58.9% (90)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.4% (78)
+2.6%
On even strength, Paul has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Malkin
Paul
Home
52.3% (438)
54.2% (450)
Away
46.2% (418)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Malkin
Paul
P1
51.3%
58.2%
P2
50.8%
50.6%
P3
45.0%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Nick Paul |