Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Zacha 52.8% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.3%
Defensive zone
Malkin 68.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 69.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Malkin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Malkin
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Malkin
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
54.1% (534)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
56.0% (109)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.8% (96)
+55.2%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zacha
Home
47.5% (326)
53.4% (406)
Away
44.0% (307)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Malkin
Zacha
P1
49.3%
56.8%
P2
44.7%
53.6%
P3
42.3%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.2%