Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Zacha 51.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 78.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Malkin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Malkin
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
53.0% (700)
-7.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
54.1% (109)
-19.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zacha
Home
50.4% (113)
51.6% (438)
Away
39.4% (132)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Malkin
Zacha
P1
47.7%
57.0%
P2
44.9%
48.9%
P3
40.0%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
35.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |