Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Zacha 49.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 28-24 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 59.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Malkin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
28
(52 meetings)
24
28
Malkin
Zacha
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
8
6
Malkin
Zacha
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
13
Malkin
Zacha
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
12
9
Malkin
Zacha
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
48.9% (5,156)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
55.7% (813)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
42.2% (557)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Malkin
Zacha
Home
47.6% (5,395)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Malkin
Zacha
P1
45.9%
49.9%
P2
46.2%
49.2%
P3
45.2%
48.2%
OT
49.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |