Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 45.0% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.5%
Neutral zone
Chytil 56.7%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Chytil
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Chytil
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Chytil
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (283)
45.8% (755)
-3.8%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
48.3% (60)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
27.6% (29)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Chytil is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Chytil shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Chytil
MacKinnon
Home
42.8% (152)
49.5% (396)
Away
44.0% (159)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Chytil
MacKinnon
P1
44.0%
50.2%
P2
44.4%
43.8%
P3
40.9%
41.4%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.4%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |