Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Chytil 50.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Chytil
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
44.7% (1,053)
-4.8%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
36.8% (95)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
65.0% (20)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Chytil is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Chytil shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Chytil
MacKinnon
Home
38.2% (285)
49.4% (553)
Away
41.0% (346)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Chytil
MacKinnon
P1
38.0%
45.3%
P2
42.1%
42.7%
P3
39.2%
45.1%
OT
42.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
38.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
39.8%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
44.4%