Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Chytil 57.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 65.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Chytil
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (61)
45.5% (1,190)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
56.4% (94)
-6.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Chytil is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Chytil shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Chytil
MacKinnon
Home
47.8% (23)
47.8% (670)
Away
40.9% (44)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Chytil
MacKinnon
P1
35.7%
45.3%
P2
56.5%
48.5%
P3
33.3%
45.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.2%