Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +25.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.7% vs Hertl 56.8% (-25.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 52.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 61.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Nazar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nazar
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Nazar
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (19)
57.0% (718)
-20.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.9% (188)
-64.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.2% (77)
-44.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Nazar is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Nazar shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Nazar
Hertl
Home
36.4% (11)
59.2% (463)
Away
27.3% (11)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Nazar
Hertl
P1
50.0%
56.3%
P2
37.5%
55.4%
P3
12.5%
60.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
31.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |