Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +21.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 49.6% vs Ostapchuk 43.3% (+21.8%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 54.8%
Defensive zone
Minten 56.3%
Neutral zone
Minten 51.1%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Minten
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (35)
26.8% (41)
+21.8%
On even strength, Minten has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Minten is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Minten shoots left. Ostapchuk is 27.3% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Minten
Ostapchuk
Home
53.8% (26)
38.9% (18)
Away
36.4% (11)
17.4% (23)
By Period
Minten
Ostapchuk
P1
53.3%
31.6%
P2
57.1%
20.0%
P3
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
14.3%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
26.8%