Fraser Minten vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.5%). Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.3% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 55.8%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 57.3%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 51.4%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Minten
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Minten
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Minten 4-2 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Minten
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
2
1
Minten
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
49.1% (632)
-0.2%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
28.6% (7)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
45.5% (66)
-8.8%
On power play, Minten has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Minten is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (624).
Minten shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Minten
Ostapchuk
Home
51.9% (476)
48.6% (329)
Away
44.4% (475)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Minten
Ostapchuk
P1
44.4%
48.5%
P2
46.8%
46.4%
P3
52.3%
50.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |