Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 56.1%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 71.5%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 58.0%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Minten
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Minten
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Minten 4-1 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Minten
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
52.5% (320)
-2.9%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
33.3% (3)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
42.4% (59)
-6.8%
On power play, Minten has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Minten shoots left. Ostapchuk is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Minten
Ostapchuk
Home
52.4% (349)
49.1% (171)
Away
45.3% (397)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Minten
Ostapchuk
P1
45.4%
50.4%
P2
47.1%
46.8%
P3
52.3%
55.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |