Frederick Gaudreau vs Tommy Novak
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Novak 45.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 52.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 73.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Gaudreau
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Gaudreau
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
43.8% (384)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
58.8% (17)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
100.0% (1)
-49.7%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +49.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Novak
Home
51.1% (507)
46.5% (202)
Away
47.4% (508)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Gaudreau
Novak
P1
49.4%
49.2%
P2
47.4%
44.2%
P3
51.2%
40.0%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.3%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |