Frederick Gaudreau vs Tommy Novak
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Novak 42.5% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 83.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 84.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Gaudreau
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
40.4% (408)
+4.5%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
45.5% (33)
-13.7%
On power play, Novak has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Novak
Home
42.6% (277)
42.0% (212)
Away
43.1% (288)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Gaudreau
Novak
P1
44.1%
41.9%
P2
44.7%
39.3%
P3
39.5%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%