Frederick Gaudreau vs Tommy Novak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Novak 43.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 55.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 91.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 76.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Gaudreau
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Gaudreau
Novak
Last 10: Gaudreau 7-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Gaudreau
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
1
Gaudreau
Novak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
2
Gaudreau
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
41.8% (1,568)
+6.8%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
51.5% (134)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
50.0% (2)
-3.3%
On even strength, Gaudreau has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Novak
Home
49.2% (2,437)
45.1% (831)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Gaudreau
Novak
P1
49.7%
43.7%
P2
47.3%
42.8%
P3
49.1%
41.1%
OT
35.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |