Ivan Barbashev vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 70.8%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 68.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 71.9%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Barbashev
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
45.8% (755)
-7.9%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
48.3% (60)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
27.6% (29)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Barbashev has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Home
45.3% (137)
49.5% (396)
Away
36.1% (191)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Barbashev
MacKinnon
P1
41.8%
50.2%
P2
43.1%
43.8%
P3
31.9%
41.4%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
37.1%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
39.9%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |