Ivan Barbashev vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 77.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 63.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
44.7% (1,053)
-5.6%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
36.8% (95)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
65.0% (20)
-45.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Barbashev shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Home
40.0% (85)
49.4% (553)
Away
35.6% (59)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Barbashev
MacKinnon
P1
35.8%
45.3%
P2
29.5%
42.7%
P3
48.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
31.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
38.2%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |