Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Novak 43.5% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Miller
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Miller
Novak
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Novak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Novak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
40.7% (460)
+15.6%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
61.5% (39)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
0.0% (1)
+47.4%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Miller
Novak
Home
58.6% (734)
47.0% (236)
Away
54.1% (727)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Miller
Novak
P1
57.1%
43.1%
P2
57.0%
43.1%
P3
54.7%
40.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
56.3%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |