Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Novak 42.5% (+20.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 68.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 63.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 65.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Miller
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Miller
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Miller
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Miller
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
40.4% (408)
+21.6%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
45.5% (33)
+20.4%
On even strength, Miller has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Miller
Novak
Home
63.0% (416)
42.0% (212)
Away
60.1% (363)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Miller
Novak
P1
60.7%
41.9%
P2
63.9%
39.3%
P3
60.2%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |