Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 75.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 64.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 62.1%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
McBain
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McBain
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McBain
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McBain
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
52.9% (870)
-1.7%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
53.5% (43)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
46.2% (143)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
McBain shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
McBain
Zibanejad
Home
53.6% (235)
55.1% (501)
Away
46.0% (224)
49.2% (555)
By Period
McBain
Zibanejad
P1
48.6%
57.5%
P2
50.9%
50.7%
P3
50.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |