Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 58.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 58.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 60.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
McBain
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McBain
Zibanejad
Last 6: McBain 2-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McBain
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McBain
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
53.3% (807)
-0.8%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
47.6% (42)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
46.3% (147)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
McBain shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
McBain
Zibanejad
Home
52.4% (309)
49.8% (466)
Away
49.7% (326)
54.0% (530)
By Period
McBain
Zibanejad
P1
54.0%
52.9%
P2
52.7%
51.2%
P3
46.5%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |