Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McBain wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 60.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 72.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 65.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
McBain
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
McBain
Zibanejad
Last 10: McBain 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
5
McBain
Zibanejad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
McBain
Zibanejad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
5
McBain
Zibanejad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
50.9% (11,756)
-2.8%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
52.2% (1,852)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
41.6% (1,796)
-6.0%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
McBain shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
McBain
Zibanejad
Home
49.1% (1,379)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
McBain
Zibanejad
P1
47.1%
50.4%
P2
47.4%
49.7%
P3
45.4%
49.9%
OT
37.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |