Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Backlund 48.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 79.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 55.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
McBain
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McBain
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
50.4% (1,032)
+0.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
52.3% (107)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
40.6% (313)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
McBain
Backlund
Home
53.6% (235)
48.7% (749)
Away
46.0% (224)
48.1% (703)
By Period
McBain
Backlund
P1
48.6%
50.4%
P2
50.9%
50.1%
P3
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
55.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Jack McBain |