Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Backlund 49.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 72.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 55.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
McBain
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McBain
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
50.5% (944)
+2.0%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
51.5% (66)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
47.1% (297)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
McBain
Backlund
Home
52.4% (309)
48.1% (636)
Away
49.7% (326)
51.4% (671)
By Period
McBain
Backlund
P1
54.0%
45.4%
P2
52.7%
54.1%
P3
46.5%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jack McBain |