Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Backlund 49.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 71.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 70.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
McBain
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
McBain
Backlund
Last 10: McBain 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
0
McBain
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
4
2
McBain
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
49.7% (13,463)
-1.6%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
51.5% (1,338)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
43.9% (2,465)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
McBain
Backlund
Home
49.1% (1,379)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
McBain
Backlund
P1
47.1%
48.5%
P2
47.4%
50.3%
P3
45.4%
48.4%
OT
37.5%
45.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |