Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 28.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (-18.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 56.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 51.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
McBain
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
51.6% (1,084)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
44.1% (136)
-26.5%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
McBain shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
McBain
Hertl
Home
33.8% (68)
55.2% (696)
Away
34.3% (35)
50.0% (770)
By Period
McBain
Hertl
P1
40.6%
55.4%
P2
40.5%
54.8%
P3
20.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
35.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
34.0%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
52.5%