Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 74.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 56.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
McBain
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
McBain
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
55.3% (897)
-10.0%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
61.1% (113)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
50.8% (132)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
McBain
Karlsson
Home
45.5% (437)
58.6% (560)
Away
42.4% (403)
52.2% (582)
By Period
McBain
Karlsson
P1
43.5%
55.8%
P2
44.0%
55.6%
P3
45.0%
55.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
44.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | William Karlsson |