Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 54.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 61.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 56.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
McBain
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McBain
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
McBain
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
58.6% (597)
-7.4%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
57.9% (57)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
51.9% (52)
-24.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
McBain
Karlsson
Home
53.6% (235)
59.6% (344)
Away
46.0% (224)
56.6% (362)
By Period
McBain
Karlsson
P1
48.6%
53.1%
P2
50.9%
62.1%
P3
50.0%
60.1%
Final 5 min
55.1%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |