Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 50.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 60.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
McBain
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (504)
58.5% (135)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
80.0% (5)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (42)
44.4% (18)
-11.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McBain is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
McBain shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
McBain
Karlsson
Home
51.8% (251)
63.7% (91)
Away
50.5% (307)
49.3% (67)
By Period
McBain
Karlsson
P1
50.9%
54.4%
P2
53.9%
66.7%
P3
48.1%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%