Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 50.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 50.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 61.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
McBain
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
58.5% (135)
-6.0%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
80.0% (5)
-37.9%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
44.4% (18)
-8.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
McBain
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (309)
63.7% (91)
Away
49.7% (326)
49.3% (67)
By Period
McBain
Karlsson
P1
54.0%
54.4%
P2
52.7%
66.7%
P3
46.5%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%