Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Duchene 52.8% (-10.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.6%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 62.3%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 53.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Roslovic
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
46.9% (162)
-4.0%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
73.2% (56)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
100.0% (2)
-71.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +71.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Duchene
Home
41.6% (442)
58.4% (125)
Away
45.5% (413)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Roslovic
Duchene
P1
44.9%
56.9%
P2
43.8%
52.5%
P3
41.8%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
43.5%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.1%