Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Duchene 54.1% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 81.9%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 90.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 90.4%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Roslovic
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Roslovic
Duchene
Last 10: Roslovic 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Roslovic
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
5
Roslovic
Duchene
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
4
Roslovic
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
53.9% (10,438)
-8.9%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
57.0% (1,677)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
49.1% (468)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,518).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Duchene
Home
44.0% (1,739)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Roslovic
Duchene
P1
45.5%
54.4%
P2
44.9%
54.5%
P3
44.8%
53.4%
OT
31.8%
56.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |