Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.2%). Roslovic wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 52.1% vs Duchene 51.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 53.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 53.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Roslovic
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roslovic
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Roslovic
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (219)
51.1% (366)
+1.4%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
61.5% (65)
-3.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Roslovic is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Roslovic shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Duchene
Home
49.6% (121)
51.7% (201)
Away
56.4% (117)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Roslovic
Duchene
P1
52.2%
49.0%
P2
56.6%
57.1%
P3
50.6%
49.2%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |