Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 47.9% vs Monahan 53.9% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 69.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 68.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Schwartz
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (62)
54.5% (231)
-12.6%
Power Play
52.2% (90)
58.2% (67)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
52.2% (23)
-52.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schwartz is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Schwartz shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Monahan
Home
50.6% (79)
53.5% (144)
Away
42.3% (78)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Schwartz
Monahan
P1
36.2%
52.5%
P2
44.4%
50.9%
P3
60.9%
60.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
32.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.5%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
55.1%