Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 63.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 54.4% vs Monahan 54.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 71.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 77.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Schwartz
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schwartz
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Schwartz
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (59)
57.1% (871)
-11.3%
Power Play
64.4% (101)
53.1% (262)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.6% (139)
-44.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schwartz is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Schwartz shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Monahan
Home
61.0% (82)
55.3% (644)
Away
53.2% (79)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Schwartz
Monahan
P1
58.6%
53.9%
P2
46.8%
55.3%
P3
64.2%
54.4%
OT
66.7%
76.5%
Final 5 min
64.1%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
62.0%▲
55.5%
57.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |