Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.7%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Scheifele 50.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 78.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Evans
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Evans
Scheifele
Last 5: Evans 1-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
4
Evans
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
49.3% (649)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
55.7% (183)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
50.0% (16)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Evans
Scheifele
Home
52.1% (503)
52.3% (440)
Away
47.0% (423)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Evans
Scheifele
P1
50.5%
52.3%
P2
47.7%
50.4%
P3
51.3%
51.4%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |