Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Dubois 47.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 57.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 88.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 76.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Evans
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Evans
Dubois
Last 10: Evans 8-2 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
3
Evans
Dubois
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
0
Evans
Dubois
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
46.1% (1,050)
+5.2%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
58.0% (81)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
25.0% (4)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Dubois is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Evans
Dubois
Home
52.1% (503)
47.0% (581)
Away
47.0% (423)
46.8% (554)
By Period
Evans
Dubois
P1
50.5%
46.9%
P2
47.7%
50.1%
P3
51.3%
43.9%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |