Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Dubois 49.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 84.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 75.3%
Neutral zone
Dubois 57.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Evans
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Evans
Dubois
Last 5: Evans 2-3 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Evans
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
49.3% (842)
+5.1%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
57.1% (35)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
55.6% (9)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Dubois is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Evans
Dubois
Home
53.7% (581)
51.0% (445)
Away
50.5% (556)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Evans
Dubois
P1
54.6%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
49.5%
P3
52.3%
49.0%
OT
46.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |