Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Dubois 48.9% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 58.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 68.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Evans
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
44.8% (259)
+10.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
70.6% (34)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
75.0% (8)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Dubois is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Evans
Dubois
Home
54.7% (402)
46.6% (163)
Away
56.9% (341)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Evans
Dubois
P1
57.9%
44.0%
P2
55.2%
51.5%
P3
53.6%
49.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jake Evans |