Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Zegras 42.6% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 64.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 71.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Evans
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
41.1% (559)
+13.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
50.0% (12)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
50.0% (2)
-6.1%
On even strength, Evans has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Evans
Zegras
Home
49.4% (336)
45.7% (247)
Away
54.8% (314)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Evans
Zegras
P1
55.8%
45.5%
P2
51.7%
36.8%
P3
48.2%
41.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.0%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |