Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs Pinto 50.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 87.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 82.5%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 58.6%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Guentzel
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Guentzel
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Guentzel
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Guentzel
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
50.4% (779)
-4.3%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
55.2% (29)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.9% (78)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Guentzel is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Guentzel shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Pinto
Home
49.3% (201)
52.4% (454)
Away
42.6% (183)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Guentzel
Pinto
P1
49.6%
48.1%
P2
45.6%
52.9%
P3
41.6%
49.3%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.1%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |