Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.7% vs Pinto 50.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 88.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 90.2%
Neutral zone
Pinto 51.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Guentzel
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Guentzel
Pinto
Last 10: Guentzel 6-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
4
1
Guentzel
Pinto
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
5
Guentzel
Pinto
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
2
0
Guentzel
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (715)
50.7% (2,752)
-4.3%
Power Play
46.6% (298)
54.4% (90)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
45.6% (239)
-2.4%
On power play, Pinto has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Guentzel is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Guentzel shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Pinto
Home
48.9% (583)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
43.2% (474)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Guentzel
Pinto
P1
48.0%
48.4%
P2
45.5%
51.9%
P3
46.0%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |